13th Summer Institute in Statistics and Modeling in Infectious Diseases (SISMID)


This module is currently full. Registrations are closed at this time.

Module 7: Simulation-Based Inference for Epidemiological Dynamics

Mon, July 12 to Wed, July 14
Instructor(s):
This module has reached capacity and is now closed. 

 

Live session timeframe (exact schedule with live sessions will be posted by module instructors prior to the start of the module): Monday: 8 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Pacific (11 a.m. – 5:30 p.m. Eastern); Tuesday: 8 a.m. – 2:30 p.m. Pacific (11 a.m. – 5:30 p.m. Eastern); Wednesday: 8 a.m. – 11 a.m. Pacific (11 a.m. – 2 p.m. Eastern).

Prerequisites: Students are expected to have a working knowledge of the R computing environment. Programming will be in R. Students new to R should complete a tutorial before the module. This module assumes knowledge of the material in Module 1: Probability and Statistical Inference, though not necessarily from taking that module.

This module introduces statistical inference techniques and computational methods for dynamic models of epidemiological systems. The course will explore deterministic and stochastic formulations of epidemiological dynamics and develop inference methods appropriate for a range of models. Special emphasis will be on exact and approximate likelihood as the key elements in parameter estimation, hypothesis testing, and model selection. Specifically, the course will cover sequential Monte Carlo, iterated filtering, and model criticism techniques. Students will learn to implement these in R to carry out maximum likelihood and Bayesian inference.